Us Election Polls 2024 538. Harris wins 50 times out of 100, while trump wins 49 times out of 100 based on 1,000 simulations, according to fivethirtyeight's final forecast, updated at 6 a.m. In recent years, voter turnout in the us has increased.
538’s final forecasts for the 2024 election. That’s the highest ever for a republican, even higher than george w.